Bermuda · model transparency
Every rival, run through the legacy workbook.
The peer dashboard's numbers are not a black box. This page prints every input behind them line by line — statutory duty, the non-Bermudian licence fee, the rent basis, Astra's vacancy and management deductions, the carrying-cost stack — and marks whether each figure comes from the earlier Astra workbook, the public listing, Bermuda statute, or the model itself. The newer report’s five-year subject verdict is not being attributed to these rivals.
Set the four assumptions everything else follows from
Astra's own three cases. Not probabilities.
The full model ledger
Read down a column to see one property's entire model. Read across a row to see how a single assumption changes by property. Only the ask and the licence category actually differ — everything else is held to the earlier workbook, not the latest report.
| Line item | Origin | Bacardi on the Rocks (subject) | Walsingham | Glebe House | Caper Collis | Te Koko | Shoreby House | Inverurie Executive Suites |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asking price The advertised ask. Bermuda has no public sold-price register, so this is a price sought, not paid. | Public listing | $5.85M | $4.95M | $7.50M | $6.90M | $8.75M | $3.25M | $5.00M |
| Licence category Land-holding-charge category under the published non-Bermudian rules. | Bermuda statute | residential valuation unit | residential valuation unit | residential valuation unit | residential valuation unit | residential valuation unit | residential valuation unit | Hotel residence placed on hotel inventory |
| Licence rate 12.5% for a residential valuation unit, 8% for a condominium, after the statutory period. | Bermuda statute | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Licence fee Asking price times the statutory licence rate. | Model output | $731,250 | $618,750 | $937,500 | $862,500 | $1,093,750 | $406,250 | $0 |
| Full conveyance duty Progressive bands 2.1% / 3.15% / 4.2% / 6.3% / 7.35%, exactly as in the workbook. | Bermuda statute | $386,925 | $320,775 | $508,200 | $464,100 | $600,075 | $195,825 | $324,450 |
| Buyer duty share Astra assumes a negotiated 50/50 split of the duty. It is an assumption, not a rule. | Astra workbook | $193,463 · 50% | $160,388 · 50% | $254,100 · 50% | $232,050 · 50% | $300,038 · 50% | $97,913 · 50% | $162,225 · 50% |
| Legal, survey and acquisition Astra's flat allowance, applied identically to every property. No quotes obtained. | Astra workbook | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 |
| Initial works Zero is Astra's placeholder, not evidence that no repairs are needed. | Astra workbook | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| All-in entry cash Price plus licence fee, buyer duty share, legal allowance and initial works. | Model output | $6.82M | $5.78M | $8.74M | $8.04M | $10.19M | $3.80M | $5.21M |
| Rent basis One rent applied to every property so price is the only variable. Astra's own figure is $18,000. | Astra workbook | $18,000/mo | $18,000/mo | $18,000/mo | $18,000/mo | $18,000/mo | $18,000/mo | $18,000/mo |
| Vacancy allowance Astra's 10% vacancy assumption on gross rent. | Astra workbook | $21,600 · 10% | $21,600 · 10% | $21,600 · 10% | $21,600 · 10% | $21,600 · 10% | $21,600 · 10% | $21,600 · 10% |
| Management share Astra's 8% management share of collected rent. | Astra workbook | $15,552 · 8% | $15,552 · 8% | $15,552 · 8% | $15,552 · 8% | $15,552 · 8% | $15,552 · 8% | $15,552 · 8% |
| First-year ownership costs Astra's land tax, insurance, repairs, garden and capital reserve stack, built for the subject cottage. | Astra workbook | $139,756 | $139,756 | $139,756 | $139,756 | $139,756 | $139,756 | $139,756 |
| Astra net income Summary!B17: effective rent less the first-year cost stack. | Model output | $39,092 | $39,092 | $39,092 | $39,092 | $39,092 | $39,092 | $39,092 |
| Astra cap rate on ask Net income over asking price — the number the peer dashboard and forecast band both read. | Model output | 0.67% | 0.79% | 0.52% | 0.57% | 0.45% | 1.20% | 0.78% |
| Cap rate on entry cash Same net income measured against all-in cash including duty and licence fee. | Model output | 0.57% | 0.68% | 0.45% | 0.49% | 0.38% | 1.03% | 0.75% |
| Gross ask division Rent over price with no deductions. Shown for continuity only; nothing on the site uses it. | Model output | 3.69% | 4.36% | 2.88% | 3.13% | 2.47% | 6.65% | 4.32% |
| Gross value at exit · Sep 2036 Asking price compounded at the selected Astra growth case. | Model output | $7.13M | $6.03M | $9.14M | $8.41M | $10.67M | $3.96M | $6.09M |
| Net sale proceeds After 5% commission, 0.5% selling legal and Astra's 50% seller duty share. | Model output | $6.50M | $5.50M | $8.33M | $7.66M | $9.71M | $3.62M | $5.56M |
| Buy versus rent NPV Negative means renting and investing wins at the selected hurdle rate. | Model output | $-2.18M | $-1.75M | $-2.98M | $-2.69M | $-3.58M | $-0.93M | $-1.15M |
| Economic IRR Includes the rent avoided as an imputed benefit, exactly as Astra's workbook does. | Model output | 0.79% | 1.02% | 0.51% | 0.60% | 0.37% | 1.79% | 2.23% |
| Required appreciation The annual growth needed to match renting and investing at the selected hurdle. | Model output | +6.56% | +6.36% | +6.80% | +6.73% | +6.92% | +5.64% | +5.01% |
| Verdict Owner wealth against renter wealth at the end of the holding period. | Model output | NO BUY | NO BUY | NO BUY | NO BUY | NO BUY | NO BUY | NO BUY |
One property, end to end
- Asking price
- $5,850,000
- Licence fee at 12.5%
- $731,250
- Buyer share of conveyance duty
- $193,463
- Legal, survey and acquisition
- $50,000
- Initial works
- $0
- All-in entry cash
- $6.82M
- Gross rent a year
- $216,000
- Less vacancy at 10%
- −$21,600
- Less management at 8%
- −$15,552
- Less first-year ownership costs
- −$139,756
- Astra net income
- $39,092
- Astra cap rate on ask
- 0.67%
- Cap rate on entry cash
- 0.57%
Owner wealth $4.55M against renter wealth $8.10M — a gap of $-3.55M.
- Gross value
- $7.13M
- Net proceeds
- $6.50M
- NPV
- $-2.18M
- IRR
- 0.79%
- Required appreciation
- +6.56%
Asking price on the listing sheet supplied by the vendor's agent.
ARV $138,000, above the $126,000 restricted-person floor, so a non-Bermudian may apply for a licence to acquire. 12.5% land-holding charge. Letting the cottage needs Ministerial permission.
Vendor listing sheet (PDF, supplied) ↗Where the model itself comes from
Inputs, Forecast and Summary sheets. Cap rates come from Summary!B17 · Illustrative rental net after reserve.
Land tax, insurance, routine repairs, garden and pool, and a capital reserve — measured for the cottage, substituted for peers.
Full progressive conveyance duty before Astra's assumed 50% buyer share.
What this model does not know
- Astra assessed the subject cottage only. Running a rival through the same sheet is a controlled comparison, not an appraisal of that rival.
- No peer publishes its land tax, insurance or upkeep, so every property carries Astra's subject cost stack unchanged.
- No mortgage, personal tax, employer subsidy or letting permission is modelled anywhere.
- Every cap rate here comes from Astra's own purchase model (Summary!B17): annual rent less a 10% vacancy allowance, less an 8% management share, less the workbook's $139,756 first-year ownership costs, divided by the asking price. Peers use that identical formula with only the public ask and statutory licence category substituted.
- Astra's cost stack was built for the subject cottage. Applied to a peer it is a controlled substitution, not a survey of that property's real land tax, insurance or upkeep.
- Bermuda publishes no official residential cap-rate series, so the workbook cap rate is a model output on published asking inputs — not an official printed cap rate or an audited NOI.
- Most sale peers are not simultaneously offered for rent. Their cap rates therefore apply one selected published rent benchmark to each asking price for a controlled comparison.