Bermuda · peer price record
What the rivals actually did to their prices: every dated ask.
Bermuda publishes no sold-price register, so the honest price record for an individual luxury property is its asking history — the date it was advertised and every printed revision since. One peer in this set launched at $6.25M and cut to $4.95M within six months. One relisted higher. One went under contract at its ask and was announced sold with no price published. The subject, at $5.85M, has a single printed ask and no revision history at all.
The measured peer record
Ask paths, December 2025 to September 2026
Each line is one property's printed asking price over time. Hollow points are terminal statuses — under contract or marked sold — plotted at the last printed ask, because no consideration was published for any of them. Hover a point for the exact figure and its source.
The full dated record
| Date | Property | Event | Figure | Basis | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2025 | Inverurie Executive SuitesPaget | Listed | $5,000,000 | reported | Ben Rego new-listing post, 9 June 2025 |
| 2 Dec 2025 | WalsinghamSmith's | Listed | $6,250,000 | reported | Rego Sotheby's launch post, 2 December 2025 |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Inverurie Executive SuitesPaget | Under contract | $5,000,000 | reported | propertySkipper listing status |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Shoreby HousePaget | Listed | $3,000,000 | derived | Sotheby's International Realty Canada |
| 27 May 2026 | WalsinghamSmith's | Reduced | $4,950,000 | reported | Rego Sotheby's price-improvement post, 27 May 2026 |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Inverurie Executive SuitesPaget | Marked sold | $5,000,000 | estimate | Rego Bermuda sold announcement |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Shoreby HousePaget | Relisted | $3,250,000 | reported | Robb Report syndicated listing |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Bacardi on the RocksSmith's | Listed | $5,850,000 | reported | Vendor listing sheet (PDF, supplied) |
| 11 Sept 2026 | WalsinghamSmith's | Still asking | $4,950,000 | reported | Robb Report syndicated listing |
| 11 Sept 2026 | SoundwindsHamilton | Still asking | $25,000/mo | reported | propertySkipper featured rental |
Rent rows are listed here for completeness but never enter the price series: the only printed luxury rent is $25,000 a month for Soundwinds.
How long each ask has had to survive
The one peer that transacted — Inverurie Executive Suites — was a revenue-producing hotel that can elect a 0% land-holding charge, not a house carrying 12.5%. The one directly comparable house, in the subject's own parish, has taken a 20.8% cut and is still unsold.
Feeding the peer record into the forecast band
At zero weight the band is Astra's verbatim −1% / +2% / +4% nominal. Raise the weight and the measured peer ask revision of -2.8% a year tilts every scenario, capped at 1.5 percentage points a year so a two-property sample can never dominate the model.
These are unweighted stress cases, not probabilities. The peer signal is drawn from asking prices, which measure vendor expectations and how fast they are abandoned — not what any buyer paid.
What this record cannot tell you
- These are asking prices over time, not sale prices. Bermuda publishes no sold-price register, so no line on this page is a transaction.
- Only Walsingham has a fully dated ask path: launched at $6.25M in December 2025, cut to $4.95M in May 2026.
- Inverurie is marked sold by its agent with no consideration published, so its final plotted point is the last ask, not the price paid.
- Shoreby House's earlier figure is converted from a Canadian-dollar page; its $3.25M July 2026 ask is printed in USD.
- The subject has exactly one printed ask and no revision history, so it contributes nothing to the measured signal.
- Under-contract and sold dates are approximate where only the status change, not its date, was published.